THE COFFEE EMPORIUM · QUEENSLAND EXPANSION · SITE VISIT CARD

Site visit card

The question you are answering is not “does the rent work?” — it is what has to be true for this to work, and is it? Front: what to collect standing in the centre. Back: where each answer is entered, and in what order.

Two sides. Print it double-sided, or keep it on your phone.

Before you go

  • Open the calculator and pick the site — or New site if it is not on the list yet
  • Write down what is known and what is assumed — before you see the place

Standing in the centre

  • Count the door. One peak hour, one quiet hour, same day. People past the door, and people in
  • Walk the distances — each anchor, the food court, the car park entry
  • What trades either side, and what is vacant on that arm
  • Nearest coffee, and how far
  • Photos: directory map with an X on it, the shopfront, the sightline 20m each way

Ask centre management

  • Previous operators — dates, turnover, how each one ended
  • Centre foot traffic — the figure and how it is measured
  • Redevelopment, re-merchandising, tenancy moves — with dates
  • Lease expiries nearby
  • What they will actually do: contribution, rent-free, term

The lease facts

  • Area · base rent · gross or net · outgoings
  • Term and options
  • Percentage rent — and whether it is “greater of”
  • Review basis — fixed % or CPI
  • Turnkey or fit-out, and who owns the fit

The four numbers that decide it

  • Turnover = customers a day × average sale. Never a typed lump.
  • Occupancy = rent ÷ net sales. Band it by centre class, not the national café average.
  • The floor = what it costs to employ someone to do the owner's rostered shifts.
  • The buffer = how big a sales miss it survives.

Three rules

  • Read year three, not year one. Year one is flattered by every concession a landlord finds easy to give.
  • Evidence beats arithmetic. No green without a door count or a trading history behind the turnover.
  • If the shortfall is bigger than the whole rent, it is a turnover problem. No lease term fixes that one.

Never

  • Never let turnover rise without the roster rising
  • Never treat a centre-wide visitor figure as a door count
  • Never send the tracker, the capture log, or the Economics Annex

Where this card fits

Four things decide a site. Only one of them is a spreadsheet, and most of what is written on the front of this card is typed into the calculator — not into the profile.

1 · The place

This card

Position, sightlines, what trades either side, what happened to the operators before. Obtainable only by standing here and asking.

2 · The terms

The landlord

Rent, contribution, term, reviews, handover date. Obtainable only by negotiating. Until they exist, every figure in the model is a placeholder.

3 · The consequence

The calculator

What 1 and 2 mean in money. Downstream of both. Run before the visit it models assumptions; run after, it models facts.

4 · The appetite

The group

What exposure Emporium will carry and at what turnover it stops. No tool produces this — it is the decision panel in the profile.

What you write down, and where it goes

These are calculator fields, not profile fields. Enter them first; the profile picks the figures up afterwards.

What you counted or were toldWhere it is entered
People past the door, a day7 · TRAFFIC → Or counted, a day
Of those, the share who came in7 · TRAFFIC → Of those, buy %
Centre visits a year, and the share on this arm7 · TRAFFIC → Centre visits · On this arm %
What a previous operator last turned over7 · TRAFFIC → What it last did
Area · seats · centre classification1 · THE STORE
Base rent · gross or net · outgoings · term · reviews · percentage rent3 · THE LEASE
Rent-free weeks · landlord contribution3 · THE LEASE · 4 · THE DEAL
When they can hand it over3 · THE LEASE → Site available from

The four traffic lines are the ones that matter most: a turnover with a count or a trading history behind it can reach green. A typed one is capped at amber however good the arithmetic looks.

The order of work

  1. Rough the numbers first, on placeholder terms. It costs ten minutes.
  2. Kill anything that is dead at every turnover before you drive there.
  3. Visit what survives. Count the door. Ask centre management the four history questions.
  4. Enter what you counted and what you were told, and re-read the gate.
  5. Press Send to the site profile. The figures, the colour and the first draft of the questions cross over.
  6. Write what only you can write — the position, the history, what has changed — and add the questions a model would never think to ask.
The calculator can tell you a site fails. It cannot tell you a site works. If the shortfall is bigger than the whole rent, no door count rescues it — a red on plausible terms holds without a visit. A green or an amber does not: those are exactly the sites this card exists for.
Site visit card Card → calculator → site profile → covering email