THE COFFEE EMPORIUM · FEASIBILITY CALCULATOR · BLANK START
What an operator would actually earn from a store, on stated terms and stated assumptions. Name the site and set the terms under Assumptions, and every figure moves with it. The metrics stay on screen as you work, and the change to take-home tile measures each edit against the terms the model was loaded with.
1 · THE STORE FROM THE LEASE PACK
TRADING HOURS
Everything downstream hangs off this. The doors being open is what creates the roster, and the roster is the largest number in the model.
2 · THE TURNOVER ESTIMATE
COST OF GOODS
3 · THE LEASE FROM THE LANDLORD
HANDOVER, TERM AND ABATEMENT
4 · THE DEAL YOURS TO SET
FREE RENT, AND WHO IT REACHES
THE LABOUR THE OWNER PUTS IN
FIVE-YEAR PROJECTION
5 · RUNNING COSTS FROM EMPORIUM
FRANCHISE FEES
6 · THE ROSTER YOURS TO SET
One row per person. Type the shift into the day they work — 7-4, 8-1, 10-2. Three of them on the same shift is 8-2 x3. Blank means off. Rename anyone, change any rate; the hours and the money follow.
WHAT IT COSTS
ON-COSTS, ON TOP OF EVERY RATE
TEST A SHORTER OR LONGER WEEK
WHERE THE CHEAP HOURS ARE
7 · TRAFFIC ESTIMATE
Turnover is customers × what they spend. Everything here is one way or another of arriving at customers a day.
PEOPLE PAST THE DOOR
WHAT THAT MAKES
TWO CHECKS THAT NEED NO TRAFFIC
8 · THE RENT TEST ESTIMATE
A centre sets rent off sales, not off floor space. The card above works out what this shop will sell; the same figure decides what the landlord can defend asking for it. Three numbers — what they can defend, what the store can carry, and what has actually been asked. The gaps between them are the negotiation.
WHAT THE CENTRE DOES
WHAT A LANDLORD CAN DEFEND
WHAT THE STORE CAN CARRY
Can the wage budget actually staff the store?
| WHERE THE HOURS GO | DAYS | HOURS A DAY | HOURS A WEEK |
|---|
IS A PARTICULAR BLOCK OF HOURS WORTH TRADING?
WHO WORKS THOSE HOURS, AND WHAT THEY COST
| WHO IS ON | SHARE | HOURS A WEEK | COST AN HOUR | A WEEK | A YEAR |
|---|
| LINE | A YEAR | % OF NET SALES | NOTE |
|---|
THE TRADING WEEK, AND THE DOOR
What a different trading week is worth
| NOW | ALTERNATIVE | CHANGE |
|---|
What the door has to deliver
| IF THIS SHARE COMES IN | PASSERS A DAY NEEDED | AT THE COUNT ENTERED | TURNOVER THAT IMPLIES |
|---|
HOW TO GET THE NUMBER
Two ways, and they cross-check each other. Ask the centre for the people-counter data at the nearest entry and on this arm of the mall, hourly, by day of week — every centre meters its doors, and asking signals that you are underwriting the site rather than guessing at it. Or stand at the shopfront and count passers in fifteen-minute blocks at 8am, 10am, 12pm, 2pm and 4pm, on a weekday and a Saturday. Ten blocks gives a defensible day curve. While you are there, count how many turn into the neighbouring tenancies — that is the conversion sanity check, and it costs nothing but a morning.
| TEST | THIS SITE | PUBLISHED COMPARATOR | READ |
|---|
THE YEAR, LINE BY LINE
Where every $100 of sales goes, after GST
Owner's benefit against turnover
| LINE | A YEAR | % OF NET SALES | WHERE THE FIGURE COMES FROM |
|---|
FIVE YEARS, AND WHAT MOVES THE ANSWER
| YEAR | SALES INC GST | OCCUPANCY | OWNER TAKES HOME | % OF TURNOVER | CUMULATIVE | AGAINST CAPITAL IN |
|---|
| SALES INC GST | NET SALES | OCCUPANCY | % | OWNER TAKES HOME | OF WHICH PROFIT | RETURN | PAYBACK |
|---|
| IF THIS CHANGED | BY | OWNER'S BENEFIT BECOMES | CHANGE |
|---|
What is known, what is derived, and what I have assumed
Every assumption in this model exists because a fact is missing. This is the list, and the single question that deletes each one. The model gets simpler as the answers come back — not more elaborate.
| THE INPUT | WHERE IT STANDS TODAY | THE ONE QUESTION THAT SETTLES IT | ASK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Area, rent, outgoings, term | KNOWN off the leasing pack | — | — |
| Franchise fees and the cost lines | KNOWN as Emporium states them | — | — |
| Trading hours | KNOWN if the lease specifies core hours | Does the lease mandate them, or is the operator free to set them? | Landlord |
| Turnover | ASSUMED — typed in, not derived | What did the outgoing tenant actually turn over? Or: what is the people-counter reading at the nearest entry? | Landlord |
| Average sale and people per docket | ASSUMED | What is the network average docket and basket for this format? | Emporium |
| Traffic past the door | ASSUMED — nothing entered | Counter data for this arm of the centre, hourly, by day of week | Landlord |
| The roster | DERIVED from covers and service rate | What does a comparable store in the network actually roster? | Emporium |
| Cost of goods and running costs | BENCHMARK — ATO café bands | What is the network's real COGS on this menu? | Emporium |
| Buy-in and working capital | ASSUMED — and it drives the return on capital tile | What is the actual price, and what float does the store open with? | Emporium |
| The owner's target income | YOURS — a choice, not a fact | What does the operator need to earn to say yes? | The operator |
Thirteen things that change the answer materially, roughly in the order they bite.
| ASSUMPTION | SOURCE | CONFIDENCE |
|---|---|---|
| Cost of goods 33–38%, wages 27–35%, total expenses 86–93% The ATO band is every café. Emporium approved stock runs 28–30% — a different measure, not a contradiction. |
ATO small business benchmarks, cafés and coffee shops, turnover over $600k, 2023–24 data published March 2026 | Actual tax return data. High |
| Occupancy cost 6–10% of turnover | Same ATO benchmark series, rent ratio for the same turnover band | High, but a band across many sites |
| Royalty / management 6%, advertising 2% | Placeholders set by the user of this model | Unconfirmed. Replace from the disclosure document |
| Superannuation 12% inside the wages line | Super guarantee, 12% since 1 July 2025, unchanged for 2026–27 | Statutory. Certain |
| Specialty occupancy cost 8.4% to 15.9%, specialty rent $919–$1,933/sqm, specialty sales $10,024–$13,788/sqm | Region Group FY25, Charter Hall 1H FY26, Vicinity FY25, Stockland FY25, GPT CY25, Scentre 2025 Property Compendium, Mirvac FY25, Urbis benchmarks to Jun 2024 | Primary landlord disclosure. High — but all-specialty, not café |
| Rent 10.79% of turnover for cafés and restaurants | Restaurant & Catering Australia, 2025 Industry Benchmarking Report, published March 2026 | Member survey, all location types. Medium |
| Fitout $2,400/sqm serviced tenancy, $3,600 shell, $1,200 refurbishment | Synthesised from seven Australian fitout contractors' 2025–26 published guides. RLB's Riders Digest — the standard Australian construction cost reference — publishes no café or hospitality fitout category at all | Contractor marketing, not a QS benchmark. The refurbishment rate is derived — nobody publishes one |
| CDC 20 days; DA 85 days assessment plus 11 days lodgement in Greater Sydney | Planning Act 2016 (Qld) and Planning Regulation 2017 — material change of use and building development approval; council decision periods vary, confirm with the local government for the centre | Legislation and government data. High |
| Design and landlord approval about 8 weeks; construction 8–12 weeks | Region Group Design & Fitout Guide (weeks 1–8, approval at week 5); six fitout contractors converging on 8–16 weeks including approvals | One landlord's published guide plus contractor consensus. Medium |
| Workers compensation 2.25%, super 12%, payroll tax nil below $1.2m of wages | Super guarantee 12%. Work cover is carried at the NSW figure as a placeholder — replace it with the gazetted WorkCover Queensland rate for WIC 4511. Payroll tax: Queensland Revenue Office, $1.3m threshold | Statutory and regulator-published. High |
| Merchant fees 1.2% on 90% of takings | RBA Review of Merchant Card Payment Costs, Conclusions Paper March 2026 — surcharging removed and interchange capped from 1 October 2026; published acquirer rates mid-2026 | Regulator-published reform. High. The dollar figure is derived |
| OneMusic $1,995; insurance $6,500; power $15,000; repairs 1–2% of turnover | OneMusic Dining licence 2026–27 published schedule; broker quote ranges 2026; Zembl small-business energy data 2025; industry rule of thumb | Music licence high. Insurance and power medium. Repairs is a rule of thumb and the softest number here |
| Rent-free period defaults to zero | Retail Shop Leases Act 1994 (Qld) — abatement is negotiated, and nothing in the Retail Leases Act requires it. No Australian survey of typical periods exists | The conservative and legally correct default |
| Rent, area, buy-in, growth and inflation | Entered by the user for the specific site | Only as good as the offer they came from |